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Good morning.
Everyone thinks the Fed is going to cut rates today. They’re probably right.
Former “Pharma Bro”-turned-prisoner-turned-investor Martin Shkreli announced he’s shorting a meme stock. He might be right.
And StubHub IPOs today. People are saying it’s overvalued compared to competitors. We’ll find out if they’re right in a few hours.
Let’s begin.
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Market Headlines
Stocks slipped Tuesday ahead of the Fed’s big decision.
The big Fed rate decision is today. Interest rate traders place odds of a rate cut at 100% (below). Odds of a 25 bps cut are at 94%, and chances of a 50 bps cut are at 6%. Social media sentiment seems to be heavily in favor of rate cuts being positive for markets overall, either sending prices higher or turning into a small “sell the news” event (that then becomes a “buy the dip” event). These observations are purely anecdotal and represent what we’re seeing on social media; they aren’t professional advice or analysis.
Chart: CME Group
Martin Shkreli has announced that he’s shorting Opendoor, which is up 440% this year; OPEN has already fallen 6% in premarket trading on the news. Shkreli’s call is getting a lot of attention because his -80% ATYR stock prediction just came true this Monday. NOTE: Shkreli is a pharma investor, and Opendoor is outside of his typical realm of expertise. Also, for a different take, Anthony Pompliano has been notoriously bullish on OPEN.
StubHub is set to IPO today, and the company’s sale of 34 million shares at $23.50 each earned it $800 million, bringing its total valuation to $8.8 billion. Some areas of potential concern:
StubHub’s market cap is now 50x that of competitor Vivid Seats ($8.8 billion vs $175 million)…
But StubHub’s revenue is only about twice that of Vivid Seats.
↪ That’s why X user BIGRYAN sees some potential issues with STUB, and thinks that it may rise quickly as an IPO today but then perform very poorly as a stock after that. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
Chip leader NOVA has entered a buy range, according to Investor’s Business Daily. The stock has shown incredible strength, growing ~49% this year, and the company itself has performed well on financials. Trader Scott Lehtonen’s buy range for NOVA is from $291.99 - $306.59 (current price: $302.18).
Chart: Investor’s Business Daily
Nvidia announced a UK expansion, with Microsoft set to deploy 24,000 Grace Blackwell Ultra chips and Nscale rolling out 60,000 more. The effort, tied to President Trump’s state visit, will power Azure and new “Stargate UK” data centers planned for 2026.
NVIDIA's stock still closed down 1.6%.
😱 Fear & Greed Index
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🤖 AI/Future/Tech News
It’s been decided that TikTok’s US business will be 80% owned by Oracle, Silver Lake, A16z, and legacy investors. ByteDance will retain 20%.
ChatGPT rolled out agent mode, enabling the model to browse, run code, and deliver outputs like editable slideshows and spreadsheets.
OpenAI hired former xAI CFO Mike Liberatore to manage its ballooning compute spending. Mike helped Elon’s startup raise $10 billion originally.
🪙 Crypto
$2 billion in stablecoins just flooded Binance’s crypto exchange ahead of the FOMC rate decision today.
85% of all cryptocurrencies on major exchanges belong to the Solana network
The SEC reviewed 92 applications, including funds tied to Solana, XRP, and Litecoin.
Google partnered with Coinbase and the Ethereum Foundation to let AI applications send and receive stablecoin payments.
🤫 Insider Trading
🚚 Market Movers
Performance Food rose 3% after it agreed to share confidential information with US Foods as the two explored a potential merger.
Rivian broke ground on its $5 billion Georgia factory, projected to produce 400,000 EVs annually by 2028 and create 7,500 permanent jobs.
Meta created a California super PAC and said it planned to spend tens of millions to back AI-friendly candidates, giving Zuckerberg a new lever in state politics.
🎙 What Do You Think?
🎤️ What you said last time
“WAWA”
🎪 Crowdfunding Showcase
Stellaris wants to turn skyscraper glass into power plants. Their transparent solar window inserts deliver 5x more output than other transparent solar window technologies, using narrow silicon cells arranged like micro venetian blinds to catch sunlight without blocking the view. Backed by $7 million+ in venture funding and already selling to first customers, they’ve opened a Wefunder campaign with a $100 minimum investment. See the full pitch and invest here →
🧠 The Missing (Market) Links
OpenAI released a graph analyzing how people use ChatGPT on a daily basis
No med school, no problem. This 32-year-old is raking in $122K dissecting organs, and the field is so hot, salaries keep climbing.
62% of Americans dream of quitting their jobs, but almost none do. Experts say these 3 hacks could finally get you out of the cubicle.
The number of stocks on the NYSE and NASDAQ hitting new 52-week highs just reached its highest level in 2025.
Wall Street’s biggest names just ditched the dollar for €100 billion—Alphabet, Visa, PepsiCo, and more are piling into euro bonds while the greenback sinks.
President Trump sued the New York Times for $15 billion in defamation, also naming Penguin Random House and four reporters.
US retail sales “grew” 3.5% in August…but inflation did the heavy lifting. The real shocker? Apparel crushed it while experience-driven retail tanked.
📜 Quote of the Day
You only need a few ideas to make a significant difference in a lifetime.”
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Cheers,
Brandon & Blake of Invested Inc
Thumbnail image: Federalreserve, Flickr
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