🤯 America's national debt > $34 trillion

💸 And your share of that is around $100k

Good morning. Later today, you’ll get our 2024 outlook.

If you missed them, check out the first two issues of our special three-part series:

*past 24-hour performance

📰 Market Headlines

  • As we predicted yesterday, it was a rough start to 2024. The S&P 500 fell 0.6%, while the Nasdaq tumbled 1.6%. Only the Dow edged 0.1% higher. Apple had its worst day in nearly five months.

  • America’s national debt surpassed $34 trillion for the first time. That’s around $100 per person in the US.

  • Oil prices were up more than 2% yesterday due to escalating tensions in the Red Sea morning before giving back some gains.

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🎰 Market Forecasts and Futures

Forecasts come from Kalshi, our favorite prediction market. Get $25 with this link.

  • Economists are split over whether the Fed will cut interest rates by the first half of 2024 (47 percent) or the second half (47 percent). The remaining 6 percent expect the Fed to hold rates steady.

  • Copper could skyrocket over 75% to record highs by 2025.

😱 Fear and Greed Index

🧠 What do you think?

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

The best comments will be featured tomorrow

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

🎤 What you said last time

A surprisingly optimistic outlook from you lot, which is encouraging.

🎉 Better - let’s rock in the New Year

“I think this year will be volatile, but there is a lot of potential for things to begin to improve. If not, then we are all doomed”

📉 Worse - everything is falling apart

“Does anyone in government buy groceries? Inflation is not at 3%, and take a look at food banks. They have never had so many people using them”

📊 Stocks

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Winners and losers

Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions

  • Tesla reported 20% YoY unit sales growth in Q4 due largely to steep price cuts.

  • Barclays downgraded Apple on iPhone worries. This sent both Apple and its suppliers’ shares tumbling.

  • Airbus is considering acquiring cybersecurity business Atos for up to $2 billion.

Market movers

  • MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor is selling $216 million worth of shares.

    • Shares of Coinbase and a variety of crypto mining companies plunged on BTC’s drawback and the MicroStrategy sell-off.

  • Americans are increasingly cutting back on their streaming subscriptions.

  • All the big linear TV players - Warner Bros, Discovery, Comcast, Fox, and Paramount - had big dips in ad spending last year.

Ideas, trends, and analysis

📊 Income

📊 Crypto

  • BTC ETF providers are already racing to the bottom with fees.

  • Jim Cramer is now bullish on BTC. God help us.

  • The BTC ETF is undeniably bullish for the cryptocurrency, but beware

🌍 Global Perspectives

🇧🇷 Brazil’s economy is doing well during President Lula’s first year back in office.

🇨🇳 Almost 90% of foreign money that flowed into China's stock market in 2023 has been pulled.

🇩🇪 The German economy may see a little growth this year, but so far everything is pointing to a lackluster year.

🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund accounted for about a quarter of the almost $124 billion spent by sovereign wealth funds worldwide last year.

🇹🇷 Turkish inflation hit 65% and is expected to rise further.

🇱🇹 The number of foreign workers in Lithuania was up more than 33% last year. There’s an arrival allowance of 3,444 euros (around $3,764) awarded to foreigners who work in occupations the country needs.

💎 Wealth Watch

🗳️ Outside the Box

📺 What to Watch Today

📈 Trends you need to know

Search results are from our friends at Glimpse, my favorite way to spot trends.

“Over the past two years, roughly 25% of those who subscribed to AppleTV+, Amazon’s PrimeVideo, Max, Peacock, Paramount+, Netflix, Hulu, and Disney+ have canceled at least three of those options – an increase from 15% before hikes pushed the combined tab of the ad-free monthly costs for those eight streamers to $112.42 a month.”

That’s all for today. Did we miss anything? Smash the reply button to let us know.

Cheers,

Wyatt

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