- Stocks & Income
- Posts
- The best November in nearly a century
The best November in nearly a century
*past 24-hour performance
šØ TL;DR
RIP to Shane MacGowan. Christmas wonāt be the same without you.
It was the best November in nearly a century for the S&P 500.
OPEC voted to reduce oil production.
European inflation tumbled.
This company has reimagined fencing (yep, fencing)
There are sexy businesses, and there are unsexy businesses.
Snap, Peloton, and WeWork are sexy. They all have buzz and panache.
But you know what else these companies have in common? None of them are profitable!
Here at Swaggy, we like to find under-the-radar companies you wouldn't normally think about. And we found one in Perimtec.
Perimtec designs and installs modern fences. That's it. They sell direct-to-consumer across the US. That's what they do.
āAnd you know what? They're making real money. Check this out:
Annual run rate of $3.1 million
LTV to CAC ratio of 4.1
Raising at a valuation of $7.1 million (that's low!)
Fencing is becoming a more important part of home design. (Heck, I installed a new backyard fence for exactly this reason)
Perimtec is making an unsexy business as sexy as possible.
Consider investing in these guys.
SPONSOR
š° Market Headlines
It was a mixed day for American equities, but all three major averages recorded their highest monthly gains in 2023, fueled by optimism that the Federal Reserve may have concluded its interest rate hikes.
OPEC+ will reduce crude output by about 2 million barrels a day for the first quarter of 2024. Markets werenāt impressed.
The core PCE price index, which excludes food and energy, decelerated to an increase of 0.16% in October from November, from 0.31% the month before.
Slightly more Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, but the overall number of people in the U.S. collecting benefits rose to its highest level in two years.
Eurozone inflation tumbled more than expected for a third straight month in November
Pending home sales fell to a record low last month.
š¶ļø Market Vibes
š° Market Forecasts and Futures
End-of-year forecasts
Macro forecasts
3.86% 3.40% 176,793 | 2% chance 1.84% |
š± Fear and Greed Index
š§ What do you think?
Oil is at $82 today, but analysts think it could hit $100 in 2024. Agree? |
š¤ What you said last time
We asked about rate hikes again, just to make sure you really think the Fedās going to raise again. You do. Prediction markets still show only a 2% chance. A $10 bet on Kalshi returns $500 if the Fed hikes in December.
The Fedās not done hiking rates
āThe Fed will not further challenge the regional banking system with more deterioration of their capital base, and the 2024 political races will mean the Fed stays on the sideline.ā
š Stocks
Want to invest like Buffet? With Public.com, you can emulate Berkshire Hathawayās portfolio with just a few clicks.
Winners and losers
Okta hit with six downgrades following Q3 earnings.
Salesforce jumped 9.4% after it reported better-than-expected results and raised its outlook. Likewise, cloud-computing company Snowflake rose 7% after also giving Wall Street an encouraging financial forecast.
Dell beat earnings but missed sales.
Alibaba received a rare downgrade on the same day it lost its crown as Chinaās most valuable e-commerce firm to one of its main rivals.
Ford says the UAW strike cost it $1.7 billion.
Ideas and analysis
Both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs think smartphones will make a comeback in 2024 due to advances in AI.
AI wars: Amazon is coming for Microsoft and Google.
Elon thinks Tesla will be the only American automaker in the global top ten soon.
Most REITs are cheap these days, but here are two to avoid.
The bull case for investing internationally despite geopolitical uncertainty.
š Income
The bond market had a roaring November as the economy seems poised to complete a Goldilocks cooldown.
PG&E has issued the largest convertible bond in two years. It pays out at 4.25%.
Disney is bringing back its dividend, paying $0.30 per share.
Vanguardās Total Bond Market ETF became the first bond fund ever to hit $100 billion AUM.
The yearās best fixed-income research providers.
Want to party like itās 2007? Check out public.comās bond ETF portfolio designed to offer exposure to mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and other securitized debt.
š Crypto
š Global Perspectives
š³šŖNiger has started generating electricity from a solar plant near the capital Niamey to make up for power shortages caused by neighboring Nigeria cutting energy supplies.
šØš³ Two more Chinese execs have gone missing.
šØš³ Chinaās third largest investment Bank ā China International Capital Corp (CICC) ā has told analysts not to publish negative views on Chinaās economy or its financial markets.
š Wealth Watch
A āgreat wealth transferā is underway, with billionaires accumulating more riches through inheritance than through entrepreneurship for the first time.
How the young should invest.
āSame as everā: Lessons on wealth, greed and happiness from Morgan Housel
š³ļø Outside the Box
Turns out there really was a corporate conspiracy to inflate egg prices.
Why no one wants to host the Olympics.
šŗ What to Watch Today
š Trends you need to know
Brought to you by our friends at Glimpse, my favorite way to spot trends.
Modelo is now Americaās fastest-growing beer brand.
Thatās all for today. Did we miss anything? Smash the reply button to let us know.
Cheers,
Wyatt
Notes
Please read this disclaimer. The authors of Alt Assets, Inc. are not attorneys, investment advisers, accountants, tax professionals or financial advisers and any of the content should not be taken as professional advice. They are self-taught accredited investors, sharing information, research, entertainment and lessons learned based solely on their own experience and circumstances. Individual results may vary. The published content is unique, based on certain assumptions and market conditions at the time of publishing, and is intended to serve solely as research, not financial advice. For entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice. Alts I LLC (the āFundā) is an affiliate of Alt Assets, Inc. and the Fund has conducted a private placement offering under Rule 506(c) of Regulation D of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The Fund may invest in one, several, or all of the alternative asset classes that Alt Assets, Inc. publishes content about on its site. Any of the Fundās investments that have positive designations on the Alt Assets, Inc. site are purely coincidental, as the Fund is actively managed and guided by its own investment parameters, as summarized in the relevant private placement memorandum. Alternative investing involves a high degree of risk, including complete loss of principal and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The newsletter may contain affiliate links, meaning that Alts.co and its associated entities may receive compensation for referring customers to the noted companies. We recommend seeking the advice of a financial professional before you make any investment in an alternative asset class or any associated entities, and we accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage you may incur.
Reply