šŸŒ“ Booking.com and Expedia blew out earnings

šŸšļø And unemployment stayed near record lows

For all the history nerds here, I did a deep dive into the end of the bronze age and what that tells us about the world today. Check it out.

šŸŒ¾ From the farm to your bank account

To feed the worldā€™s growing population, farmers will need to produce as much food over the next 40 years as they produced in the last ten thousand.

We'll need big investments in farms and agribusinesses. That's why ā€‹Harvest Returnsā€‹ offers exclusive private opportunities for investing in farming and ranching operations.

It's hard to imagine a world where farmland investing isn't valuable. That's where Harvest Returns comes in.

Invest in:

šŸšœ Ranches and Farms

  • Invest in helping American farmers start + grow operations.

  • You can invest in projects such as hydroponic farms, indoor aquaculture facilities, or vineyards for $5,000

šŸŒ± AgTech Companies

Lately we've been exploring Harvest's newest offering: their ā€‹Private Credit Fundā€‹.

šŸ†• Private Credit Fund

  • Diversified assets across varied agriculture sectors+geos

  • 1-3 year maturity debt notes (to leverage high interest rates)

  • Quarterly cash distributions.

  • First distribution is projected for JuneHigh targets: 14.5% IRR and a 1.5x exit multiple

šŸ“° Market Headlines

  • Stocks settled into their rally after the Fed signaled a dovish bias.

  • Apple announced a record $110 billion share buyback after its earnings report beat expectations but revealedĀ a 4% decrease in overall revenue and a 10% fall in iPhone sales. [Ed: If there was any doubt about Appleā€™s path forward before, there isnā€™t anymore]

  • Sony and Apollo sent a letter to Paramount's board expressing interest in aĀ $26 billion buyoutĀ as the company mulls a bid from Skydance Media.

  • CoinbaseĀ postedĀ a sizable jump in Q1 profit, driven by an uptick in crypto trading after the Bitcoin ETFs launched in January.

šŸ•¶ļø Market Vibes

šŸŽ° Market Forecasts and Futures

Forecasts via ā€‹Kalshiā€‹, the prediction market.

Markets have given up on a June cut. November is now the earliest likely(ish) date.

šŸ˜± Fear and Greed Index

šŸŽ¤ What you said last time

The vast majority of you think war is a legitimate worry.

šŸ“ˆ Trends you need to know

.

56% more Americans are trying to figure out how to declare bankruptcy today than one year ago.

šŸ§  What do you think?

šŸ’¬ Have your say

Do you know anyone declaring bankruptcy?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

šŸ“Š Stocks

Get $20 free shares at ā€‹public.comā€‹ using code ALTSCO.

Winners and losers

Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions

  • ModernaĀ closed more than 12% higher after posting a narrower-than-expected Q1 loss.

  • Peloton's stock plunged to an all-time low after CEO Barry McCarthy unveiled plans for his departure and a 15% global workforce reduction.

  • DraftKingsĀ announced better-than-expected results in Q1 CY2024, with revenue up 52.7% year over year and shares rising 2.9%.

  • ExpediaĀ beat earnings estimates and revenue, closing trading 2.2% higher.

  • BookingĀ blew away Q1 earnings expectations, launching shares more than 9%.

  • WayfairĀ reported revenue slightly above estimates, but posted a larger-than-expected net loss; shares rose 14%.

  • ConocoPhillipsĀ missed Q1 earnings estimates and revenue, dropping shares nearly 2%.

  • The Cigna GroupĀ fell 3.5% despite surpassing Q1 EPS estimates and raising its full-year 2024 outlook.

Market movers

  • Democratic Sen. Ed Markey introduced the first federal bill to regulate warehouse employers' use ofĀ productivity quotas, taking aim at Amazon's labor practices.

  • An internal memo revealed Amazon is requiring its AWS Global Summit events to spend up toĀ 80% of their time talking about generative AI.

  • Wells FargoĀ announced more layoffs in Iowa on the same day shareholders voted to increase the CEO's pay by $4.5 million.

Ideas, trends, and analysis

šŸŒ Global Perspectives

  • šŸ‡³šŸ‡ŖĀ šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø Russian troopsĀ enteredĀ a base housing the US military in Niger, according to a US official.

  • šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡øĀ šŸ‡ØšŸ‡³Ā šŸ‡·šŸ‡ŗĀ A senior US official urgedĀ China and Russia to agree that only humans, not AI, will decide on deploying nuclear weapons.

  • šŸ‡ØšŸ‡³ The death toll from aĀ collapsed highwayĀ in southeastern China climbed to 48 as searchers dug for a second day.

  • šŸ‡¦šŸ‡Ŗ Heavy rainsĀ returnedĀ to the UAE just two weeks after record-setting rainfall triggered damaging floods.

  • šŸ‡®šŸ‡· Iran charged "several journalists and activists" following a BBC report alleging that security forces killed a teenage protester.

šŸ“Š Crypto

  • US lawmakersĀ urged the SECĀ to approve Bitcoin options trading.

  • BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF saw itsĀ first outflowsĀ as US spot BTC ETFs shrank 20% since March.

  • Arkansas governor announced plans toĀ sign two billsĀ regulating crypto mining.

  • Hong Kong's new Bitcoin ETFs sawĀ $217 million in inflows, not enough to offset $298 million in outflows from US ETFs.

šŸ§  Errata

šŸ“ŗ What to Watch Today

Thatā€™s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know.

Cheers,

Wyatt

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