๐Ÿ“‰ CPI comes in cooler than expected

๐Ÿ“ˆ Sending markets higher

Did you know olive oil fraud is a thing?

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๐Ÿ“ฐ Market Headlines

  • Stocks climbed on cooling inflation as July's CPI report bolstered hopes for Fed rate cuts.

    • The S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Dow gained 0.6%, while the Nasdaq finished just above the flatline.

  • The US Federal Trade Commission finalized a ban on companies knowingly buying or selling fake online reviews.

  • Meta has shut down its CrowdTangle tool despite widespread outcry from researchers, academics, and regulators.

  • Starbucks has offered incoming CEO Brian Niccol $85 million in cash and stock, including a $10 million cash bonus as he departed Chipotle.

๐Ÿ•ถ๏ธ Market Vibes

๐ŸŽฐ Market Forecasts and Futures

Forecasts via โ€‹Kalshiโ€‹, the prediction market.

๐Ÿ˜ฑ Fear and Greed Index

๐ŸŽค What you said last time

What you had to say:

โ€œTrumpโ€™s lack of adapting his strategy specifically for Harris has hurt him. Now we need to see if the Harris campaign slips and if Trump can capitalize.โ€

๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends you need to know

Despite weaker economic data, Kalshi predicts only an 11% chance of a recession in 2024.

๐Ÿง  What do you think?

Will there be a recession in the US this year?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

๐Ÿ“Š Stocks

Get $20 free shares at โ€‹public.comโ€‹ using code ALTSCO.

Winners and losers

Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions

  • Brinker International fell 13% after missing earnings expectations.

  • Cisco beat Q4 expectations and announced a slew of layoffs, pushing shares up over 5%.

  • UBS smashed second-quarter profit expectations; shares climbed 5.3%.

  • Dole edged up 1.5% despite revenue falling 0.8% from a year ago.

Market movers

  • Wall Street firms have agreed to pay over $470 million to US regulators to settle civil charges for violating record-keeping rules.

  • Elliott Investment Management launched a proxy fight with Southwest Airlines, nominating 10 candidates for the 15-member board.

  • A federal judge blocked Missouri's rule limiting ESG investing, citing conflicts with federal law and free speech violations.

  • Kellanova surged 7.7% after Mars agreed to acquire the Pringles maker for $35.9 billion in cash.

  • The Delaware Supreme Court upheld a $267 million legal fee in a $1 billion Dell shareholder settlement, one of the largest in US history.

Ideas, trends, and analysis

  • Mortgage refinancing applications surged 35% last week as 30-year fixed rates fell to 6.54%.

  • Used car prices in July dropped nearly 20% from pandemic highs, contributing to a decrease in overall inflation.

  • Leveraged loan deals slowed to $3.3 billion last week, far below the $10 billion weekly average.

Recommended Newsletter

๐ŸŒ Global Perspectives

  • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand's PM Srettha Thavisin was dismissed for ethics violations after appointing a jailed minister.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina charged ex-President Alberto Fernandez for allegedly injuring his former partner.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel announced a new 60-hectare West Bank settlement, linking Gush Etzion to Jerusalem.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan's PM Fumio Kishida resigned from office amid political scandal and rising living costs.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Greek authorities dismantled a drug trafficking ring targeting Israel, arresting eight foreign nationals.

๐Ÿ“Š Crypto

  • Bitcoin ETFs saw $19.3 billion in inflows this year, with BlackRock now the third-largest BTC holder, on track to be first by 2025.

  • Fidelity hinted at launching a stablecoin, tokenized Treasury, and on-chain credit offerings, exploring tokenization opportunities.

  • NYSE Arca withdrew its request to list options on commodity trusts and crypto ETFs amid recent regulatory scrutiny.

๐Ÿง  Errata

  • A massive X-class solar flare erupted from the sun, triggering radio blackouts across Asia and the Indian Ocean.

  • A convicted serial killer on death row confessed to a 1986 cold case murder, bringing his victim count to 14.

  • Waymo's driverless taxis flooded a San Francisco neighborhood with relentless honking, prompting a software fix to quiet the chaos.

๐Ÿ“บ What to Watch Today

Honk, who goes there?

Thatโ€™s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know.

Cheers,

Wyatt

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