๐Ÿฅ France's govt falls

๐Ÿซจ While a quake rocks SF

Itโ€™s another holiday in Spain. Wish me luck.

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Disclaimer

๐Ÿ“ฐ Market Headlines

Markets retreated across the board as investors braced for today's jobs report.

  • The Dow dropped 0.55%, S&P 500 fell 0.19%, and Nasdaq slipped 0.18%.

  • Weekly jobless claims rose to 224,000, higher than the expected 215,000, while the trade deficit narrowed 11.9%.

A federal judge rejected Boeing's plea deal tied to the 737 Max crashes.

A 7.0-magnitude earthquake off California's coast triggered and lifted tsunami warnings for parts of the West Coast. There was no tsunami.

The French government was toppled in a no-confidence vote brought by opposition parties.

๐Ÿง  Make yourself heard

DJT's tough talk on tariffs is

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๐Ÿง  Whatโ€™s next: Prediction markets

DJT loves tariffs, and prediction markets think he will use them โ€” a lot.

What are the odds he will impose tariffs on foreign trade from both friends and foes?

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China - 83%

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU - 65%

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico - 78%

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada - 70%

The odds of him placing โ€œlarge tariffsโ€ are lower, at only 60%, so maybe itโ€™s only a symbolic trade war.

 ๐Ÿ“Š Ideas, trends, and analysis

Remember the Hawk Tuah girl? She (allegedly) scammed a bunch of idiots out of their money

๐Ÿ•ต๏ธ Notable

  • Buy-now-pay-later usage hit a record high on Cyber Monday, accounting for nearly $1 billion in sales.

  • The US reported a record number of whooping cough cases over Thanksgiving week, with 364 infections.

๐Ÿ˜ฑ Fear and Greed Index

๐Ÿ“Š Winners and losers

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Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions

  • BMO posted Q4 net income of $2.3 billion despite a $1.5 billion provision for credit losses; shares fell 6.7%.

  • Ulta Beauty raised its annual profit forecast after strong holiday demand, sending shares up 11.5%.

  • Dollar General missed Q3 earnings estimates; shares retreated 0.1%.

  • TD Bank reported Q4 EPS of $1.97 but warned of challenging 2025 earnings growth as shares tumbled 6.7%.

  • Lululemon beat Q3 estimates as revenue jumped 9%, and shares surged 8%.

Market movers

  • Citi's Cary Kochman retired after nearly 14 years leading the bank's M&A group.

  • VW workers in Germany planned to strike for four hours on Monday, protesting plant closures.

  • Smith+Nephew cut 150 jobs in Tennessee as part of a business efficiency drive.

  • FedEx axed 341 employees in North Carolina, closing a Durham ship center and reducing Raleigh staff.

Recommended Newsletter

๐ŸŒ Global Perspectives

  1. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov made his first EU visit since the Ukraine invasion to Malta.

  2. ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ Syrian opposition forces captured Hama, the regime's second major city to fall in a week after Aleppo.

  3. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ Amnesty International accused Israel of genocide in Gaza after the forced displacement of Gaza's residents.

  4. ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡พ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Paraguay expelled a Chinese envoy for urging lawmakers to cut ties with Taiwan.

๐Ÿ“Š Crypto

  • Plena super app launched on Solana blockchain, bringing gasless transactions and account abstraction to 1.3 million users.

  • Dubai's alleged crypto scams have raked in billions as the city becomes a global hub for fraud.

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๐ŸŽค What you said last time

LFG

What you had to say:

โ€œToo much greed in the market! When everyone predicts something, the opposite happens. Everyone was expecting a recession, and we had a meltup! Now everyone is so greedy at some point soon, weโ€™re going to see a recession.โ€

๐Ÿง  Errata

  • A Canadian man who leaped on a polar bear attacking his wife is recovering in the hospital from severe injuries.

  • Murder hornets have buzzed their way to Europe for the first time, spotted in Spain.

  • A Chinese man was trapped in a well in Thailand for three days as villagers mistook his cries for ghostly sounds.

๐Ÿ“บ What to Watch Today

Thatโ€™s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know.

Cheers,

Wyatt

Reply

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