Hello.
Oil fell $30 in intraday trading yesterday because Trump said the war was “very complete, pretty much.” Things can flip on a dime in this market.
That’s why in addition to looking at overarching narratives, it’s important to take stock of key technical indicators. So today, we’re going to walk through trailing and forward P/E ratios, with an example stock as well.
All that and more below, but first, check out our partner RAD Intel:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
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📰 How to Use Trailing + Forward P/E Ratios
Market narratives are important because they drive so much of the growth (and decline) in our current day and age. However, we think it’s still just as important to look at technical indicators to find potential opportunities in the stock market.
Not the kinds of indicators that would make even an economist’s head hurt. We just mean good old P/E (price/earnings), which tells whether a company might be under- or overvalued. And specifically, we want to look at the combo of trailing P/E and forward P/E.
Trailing 12 month P/E is a stock’s price divided by its total earnings per share (EPS) from the past 12 months. It follows, then, that forward P/E is just a stock’s price divided by its projected earnings for the following 12 months.
What we’re interested in is the difference between a stock’s trailing P/E and its forward P/E.
Here’s why:
Trailing P/E tells us how expensive or cheap a stock is based on its recent financials, giving us a baseline to evaluate the company’s next steps from.
Forward P/E tells us where a stock is going from here. It maps out what growth might look like in the coming months.
If a stock’s forward P/E is significantly lower than its trailing P/E, that could mean the company is going to grow by a lot over the coming year.
So, lower forward P/E than trailing P/E = buy signal? No, it’s not that simple. You need to also determine why the stock’s forward P/E is lower and, if it’s because the company is projected to grow, whether you think the market has priced that growth in or not.
We’ve got an example of how to use P/E in this way below.
💿 Stock of the Day: Micron Technology (MU)
We’ve talked about this stock before, but we’re going to cover it now from a different angle. Micron Technology (MU) is a major player in the memory space, which has seen a large surge in valuation recently (SanDisk, a larger memory company, is the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 right now).
While MU has already given an incredible performance over the past year (up 347.08%), the stock’s P/E ratios still tell an interesting story:
MU’s Trailing 12-Month P/E: 37
MU’s Forward P/E: 12
Massive difference. However, MU has already grown a ton in the past year. So, the market is faced with a choice: has Micron already hit its top and is now bound for lower price, or will its projected increase in earnings (i.e., MU’s lower Forward P/E) hold true, pushing the price higher?
We need more information.
MU’s PEG ratio (price/earnings to growth ratio) is at 0.68. Anything below a PEG ratio of 1 means the company is either trading in line with the growth rate or may even be undervalued, according to Investopedia.
Micron Technology is also hiring new employees, another signal of growth: MU job listings increased by 43% over the past three months, according to our partner AltIndex. MU also has a 91% buy rating from analysts on average (and a 62/100 buy signal from AltIndex).
Of course, there are potential pitfalls here. The market may be believing that the MU top is in, and that the memory industry is going to decline from here. The next big clue we’ll get for that mystery comes in 8 days on March 18th, when Micron reports earnings. We’ll be watching to see if MU meets or beats its revenue projection of $18.7B.
This is not investing advice. Always do your own research.
📰 Market Headlines
Markets staged a dramatic comeback Monday after President Trump hinted the war with Iran could be over soon.
The Nasdaq was up 1.38%, and the S&P 500 was up 0.83% by close. The Dow recovered from an 800-point loss to gain 240 points.
Oil prices whipsawed brutally, briefly topping $119 per barrel overnight Sunday before plunging 25% intraday to around $85-89 after President Trump told CBS News the conflict is "very complete, pretty much." Brent and WTI crude are still up 23% and 28% respectively since the war began, with roughly 16 million barrels per day stranded behind the closed Strait of Hormuz.
The oil shock is scrambling the Fed's rate outlook. Wilmington Trust chief economist Luke Tilley estimates that if oil stays at $100 for three months, it could tip the economy into recession. The question dividing Fed officials: should policy become more accommodative, or have inflation concerns returned?
How Jennifer Anniston’s LolaVie brand grew sales 40% with CTV ads
The DTC beauty category is crowded. To break through, Jennifer Anniston’s brand LolaVie, worked with Roku Ads Manager to easily set up, test, and optimize CTV ad creatives. The campaign helped drive a big lift in sales and customer growth, helping LolaVie break through in the crowded beauty category.
Netflix shares bounced 30% in nine sessions after walking away from its $83 billion Warner Bros. bid, its best nine-day performance since October 2022. Investors cheered the company's return to its core business and the $2.8 billion breakup fee it pocketed.
Anthropic sued the Defense Department in two separate complaints on Monday after being labeled a supply-chain risk late last week. The Claude maker accused the Pentagon of "unprecedented and unlawful" retaliation after refusing to provide its AI for mass surveillance of Americans or fully autonomous weapons.
Oracle reports Q3 earnings Tuesday amid reports it axed plans to expand its Stargate AI data center with OpenAI and is preparing thousands of layoffs. Oracle shares have collapsed 37% over the last six months as investors question its ballooning capital expenditures, which jumped 269% in Q1 to $8.5 billion. The company is expected to report a 139% increase to $14 billion in capex for Q3.
Average tax refunds hit $3,800, an 8.8% jump from last year, according to IRS data through late February. The government has processed over 36 million refunds totaling $136 billion so far this season. The bump comes from provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill, including new deductions on overtime pay and tips, a vastly expanded state and local tax deduction, and a bigger standard deduction of $31,500 for married couples.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise beat Q2 revenue estimates Monday afternoon and raised its full-year adjusted earnings forecast to $2.30-$2.50, above the expected $2.25-$2.45.
Hims & Hers stock soared after its months-long feud with Novo Nordisk over weight-loss drug access took an unexpected turn. The telehealth platform had sparred with the Danish drugmaker over Novo's refusal to sell weight-loss drugs on its platform, but the bitter battle appears to have reached its end.
🤖 AI/Future/Tech News
Amazon's Zoox expanded robotaxi testing to Dallas and Phoenix, reaching 10 US markets after 300,000+ rides.
Qualcomm partnered with Neura Robotics on IQ10 processors for humanoid robots, challenging Nvidia in AI robotics chips.
Russian hackers are hijacking WhatsApp and Signal accounts by posing as support bots, Dutch intelligence warned.
🚚 Market Movers
Oracle is bracing for massive layoffs, up to 30,000 jobs, or 18% of its workforce, as AI data center spending drains cash. Banks are pulling back on financing.
Apple delayed its smart home display while waiting for new Siri AI features.
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💳 Alternative Investment of the Day: Pokémon Trading Cards
Pokémon trading cards are experiencing significant price appreciation heading into spring 2026, particularly among vintage and rare editions. Following Pokémon's 30th anniversary in February, nostalgic Millennials and Gen Z collectors have driven sharp gains across the market.
The iconic Charizard ex from the 151 set climbed to $344.62, up 32% in just 30 days, while the "Sunbreon" Umbreon ex from Prismatic Evolutions rebounded to $1,085, a 15% jump after hitting an $800 low in December. Even common-rarity vintage cards like a 24-year-old Charmander from the Expedition set surged nearly 50% to $29.40 as supply dried up.
TCGplayer's latest price trends report shows that scarcity, nostalgia, and the end of certain print runs are fueling gains. Unlike luxury handbags or fine art, Pokémon cards are accessible to everyday collectors. Entry points start around $10 for competitive playable cards, with potential for significant appreciation as sets go out of print.
🧠 The Missing (Market) Links
AbbVie, Merck, and Apollo Global each cut tax bills by $1 billion+ through tax havens, 70% via Switzerland, Ireland, Puerto Rico, and the Netherlands.
US meat sales hit a record $112 billion, with Millennials and Gen Z driving 67% of growth.
Nickel surged past $18,000 per tonne, up 20% in 12 sessions, before oversupply pulled it back.
Oil dropped below $90 as the Middle East conflict whipsawed markets.
Silver nosedived Rs 3,400 in India as a strong dollar and surging crude stoked inflation fears.
📜 Quote of the Day
The stock market is the only market where things go on sale and all the customers run out of the store.
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Brandon & Blake of Invested Inc
The information provided in Stocks & Income is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Stocks & Income is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or licensed financial planner. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We may hold positions in or receive compensation from the companies or products mentioned. Disclosures will be made where applicable. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
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