Hello.

This week might make or break the market.

Nvidia will reveal whether the AI trade has legs to stand on for the rest of 2026, “Central Bank Super Week” will tell us if rising oil prices have tanked any hope of rate cuts, and food prices might start going up because of a globally frozen fertilizer supply chain.

Trust us when we say you’ll want to mark your calendar with the events we cover today… 2026 will have a lot more certainty after the next 5 days. Today, we’re covering the benchmarks that could determine if the week ends in the green or the red.

We dive in below, but first, this company is enabling you to invest in 500+ character assets at $2.25/share 👇

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👀 The Week Ahead

As far as news goes, this may be the most consequential week of 2026 yet.

The biggest events to keep an eye on:

  • Nvidia GTC AI conference (Mar 16-19): this is “the world’s premier AI conference,” and the market is likely going to use whatever Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says in his keynote speech today at 1 PM ET as a bellwether for the whole industry. What the market is looking for specifically: whether the AI revenue pipeline is still accelerating despite the war.

  • Central Bank Super Week: eight of the world's largest central banks (including the Fed, ECB, BoE, and BoJ) will announce interest rate decisions this week. The Fed’s interest rate decision isn’t the most interesting part though; it’s the “Dot Plot” and Jerome Powell’s press conference where traders will see if the jump in oil prices has permanently scrapped 2026 rate-cut hopes.

Date

Key Economic Events

Major Earnings/Events

Mon, Mar 16

US Industrial Production; China Industrial/Retail Data

Nvidia GTC; Dollar Tree Earnings

Tue, Mar 17

US Retail Sales; RBA Rate Decision (Australia)

Lululemon & DocuSign Earnings

Wed, Mar 18

Fed Policy Decision; US PPI; Canada CPI

Micron Technology Earnings (Expected $18.7B Rev)

Thu, Mar 19

BoE, ECB, & SNB Rate Decisions; US Jobless Claims

FedEx Earnings; Nike Earnings

Fri, Mar 20

PBoC Interest Rate Decision (China)

Quadruple Witching (Options Expiry)

📰 Market Headlines

Markets slid Friday to close out their third straight week in the red as oil flirted with $100 per barrel and inflation concerns overshadowed solid economic fundamentals.

  • The S&P 500 fell 0.6%, the Dow dropped 0.3%, and the Nasdaq tumbled nearly 1%.

Iran's foreign minister says Tehran hasn't asked for a ceasefire and sees no reason to negotiate with the US. The comments came after President Trump claimed Iran wanted a deal, but one he felt "wasn't good enough yet." See our latest update here →

The Fed meets Wednesday in what could be one of its most complicated decisions in years. Inflation is sticky, oil prices are surging, but fourth-quarter GDP just got revised down to 0.7% growth from an initial 1.4% reading. Jobs data showed the economy lost 92,000 positions in February.

  • Traders are betting 99% that rates will stay unchanged at the meeting. Odds of at least one cut by December? Just 40%.

FCC Chair Brendan Carr threatened to pull broadcast licenses from TV stations over coverage of the Iran war he called "fake news." The threat is mostly hollow—the FCC hasn't denied a license renewal in decades, and any action would trigger First Amendment lawsuits, but it's the latest salvo in the administration's pressure campaign against media companies.

Gulf economies face their worst slump since the 1990s if the Iran conflict drags on, Bloomberg reports. Meanwhile, US oil producers could pocket an extra $60 billion in revenue this year if crude holds near current levels.

Asia-Pacific allies inked $57 billion in deals with US companies, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum announced over the weekend.

BlackRock launched a staked Ethereum ETF that pays monthly yields to holders, marking Wall Street's latest push to make crypto look more like traditional investments. The fund stakes 70-95% of its Ethereum holdings to generate roughly 2.5-3% annual returns, higher than the S&P 500's 1.1% dividend yield, but below the 10-year Treasury's 4.2%.

🤖 AI/Future/Tech News

  • Google closed its largest-ever acquisition at $32 billion for cloud security startup Wiz, 2.5x bigger than its $12.5 billion Motorola buy.

  • Apple cut App Store fees in China from 30% to 25% to dodge a formal antitrust probe.

  • Adobe agreed to pay $75 million to settle DOJ claims it buried cancellation fees. One exec called termination fees "a bit like heroin for Adobe."

  • Amazon hiked ad-free Prime Video to $4.99 monthly, up from $2.99, and rebranded it as "Prime Video Ultra."

  • A lawyer warned of mass casualty risks after chatbots allegedly helped users plan school shootings. His firm gets one serious AI psychosis inquiry daily.

🚨 Trending on Reddit

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) discussion focused on global semiconductor dependence. Reddit users highlighted how heavily the AI industry relies on TSMC’s leading-edge chips and debated the risks a geopolitical conflict involving Taiwan could pose to the tech supply chain.

  • Microsoft (MSFT) chatter centered on valuation comparisons with other tech giants like Google and Amazon. Some users described Microsoft as more recession-resilient with a relatively attractive valuation, while others noted Google’s strong long-term upside tied to emerging technologies.

🤫 Insider Trading

Stocks

Who bought/sold

Details

Total

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp ($ADPT)

President & COO

Sold 19,060 shares @ $12.96

$247,018

nLIGHT Inc ($LASR)

Director

Sold 6,644 shares @ $63.28

$420,432

🚚 Market Movers

  • Meta is eyeing layoffs that could slash 20% of its 79,000-person workforce to offset AI spending, though a spokesperson called the report "speculative."

  • Digg shut down its Reddit-style relaunch two months after open beta, blaming AI bots that overwhelmed moderation. Founder Kevin Rose returns full-time in April.

  • India's upGrad is acquiring Unacademy in an all-stock deal after Unacademy's valuation cratered 85% from its $3.5 billion pandemic peak to under $500 million.

🎙 Make Your Voice Heard

With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed, roughly what percentage of the world’s daily seaborne oil trade is currently at risk?

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🎤️ What you said last time

🧠 The Missing (Market) Links

  • Major album drops trigger a 15% spike in fatal crashes and 40% jump in phone use, per an NBER study.

  • Harvard's Black enrollment fell from 18% to under 12% after the affirmative action ban, as states sue over President Trump's new college data mandate.

  • President Trump claims 700,000 deportations; ICE data shows 400,000 as immigration statistics disappear from federal sites.

  • Costa Rica to Switzerland debuted at Seafood Expo North America, signaling shifting trade flows through 2035.

  • An entrepreneur works 16 hours weekly in Spain, slashed rent from $3,700 to $2,200, coasting on $220,000 in savings to 65.

📜 Quote of the Day

Over the long term, the stock market reflects the underlying progress of businesses.

📢 We want to hear from you.

Your feedback matters to us! Let us know what you liked or didn’t like about today’s edition.

That’s all for today. Did we miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know.

Cheers,
Brandon & Blake of Invested Inc

The information provided in Stocks & Income is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Stocks & Income is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or licensed financial planner. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We may hold positions in or receive compensation from the companies or products mentioned. Disclosures will be made where applicable. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.

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