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Good morning.

We’ve got a jam-packed issue this morning, so we’ll keep the intro short and sweet:

  • The private credit cockroach situation looks more like infestation

  • Major Twitter trader dropped his thesis on impending market crash

  • Pelosi and Buffett bought 5 of the same stocks over 5 years

  • We’re using a new Fear and Greed index, and boy, are markets greedy

And far more. Let’s get started.

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Market Headlines

Markets tumbled on Thursday as regional bank losses (due to private credit) and trade tensions rattled investors.

  • The Dow fell 0.6% (about 300 points), the S&P 500 slid 0.6%, and the Nasdaq dropped 0.5%.

The private credit cockroaches keep appearing… because like Warren Buffett says, “There's never just one cockroach in the kitchen.” Zions Bancorporation disclosed a $50 million loss on two commercial and industrial loans in Q3, sending regional bank stocks tumbling. Western Alliance also tanked after revealing that a borrower failed to provide collateral loans in the first position. The selloff spread to Jefferies, still reeling from its First Brands involvement. Zions shares plunged 13%, while Jefferies dropped over 10%. In summary, the private credit industry is not looking great.

Twitter trader Mac10 is convinced we’ll see a market crash very soon. He published an article titled “AI CRASH MODE” last night. Here’s his thesis:

Because 1) we’re seeing record levels of selling near all time highs, 2) there are a ton of 3x leveraged ETFs in the market that make crashes like last Friday worse, and 3) we are entering a low liquidity period for the market next week due to earnings blackout and FOMC blackout, Mac10 says “You don't have to be a genius to predict a cataclysmic level of selling and dislocation in markets is imminent” (chart below).

Novo Nordisk A/S and Eli Lilly & Co shares dropped after President Trump stated that Ozempic could soon cost as low as $150/month, a decrease of 85% from current prices of ~$1,000/month. NOVO fell 7% and LLY was down 5.1% pre-market today. This Ozempic price change would be great for consumers but highly negative for drug companies.

There are four stocks Nancy Pelosi and Warren Buffett have both bet on in the past five years. It’s interesting to take a look at where the trading strategies of one of the greatest investing minds in history and one of the most controversial investors of all time intersect and align. See the stocks →

😱 Fear & Greed Index by AltIndex

You’ll notice that today’s Fear and Greed index looks different both aesthetically and numerically. (Yesterday’s reading was 23, “extreme fear,” but now were in the high sixties?!)

That’s because we’re using a new Fear and Greed indicator from AltIndex. One that actually uses the right signals.

Here’s what we mean:

First of all… can we agree that we are not in a market state of “extreme fear?”

AltIndex’s Fear and Greed indicator factors in the most important signals, including:

  • Stock prices

  • Trading volume

  • Web traffic

  • Reddit mentions

  • Buy/sell ratio

  • Employee sentiment

  • And more

It uses these data points to arrive at a far more holistic and useful Fear and Greed number than mainstream finance websites do.

So we’ll be using this indicator moving forward. I mean, doesn’t a Greed score in the high 60s just feel more true to current market conditions than an “extreme fear” 23 score?

🤖 AI/Future/Tech News

  • Amazon's Ring partnered with Flock, an AI surveillance network used by ICE and federal agencies, allowing agencies to request footage from Ring users for investigations.

  • HR giant Deel raised $300 million at a $17.3 billion valuation from Andreessen Horowitz and Ribbit Capital, hitting $1 billion ARR with 35,000+ customers.

  • Apple lost another AI executive to Meta as Ke Yang, who led web search AI efforts, jumped ship weeks before Siri's March revamp.

🤫 Insider Trading

Stock

Who Bought/Sold

Trade Details

Total Amount

Director

Bought 1,473,214 shares @ approx. $1.12

$1,649,999 total

President & CEO

Bought 23,015 shares @ approx. $4.37

$100,451 total

In partnership with AltIndex

Something Is Brewing on r/WallStreetBets

Apparently, the meme stock craze of the summer is already old news for the most notorious subreddit in the financial world.

Donuts, jeans memes, and real estate platforms aren’t as hot of a topic anymore ($DNUT, $AEO, and $DOOR aren’t even in the top 20 tickers by mentions)—but there are some spicy new names at the top.

Mentions are up 136.7%% for the new #2 stock, meaning this isn’t just a coincidental rise in notoriety. Reddit has something to say about it.

If you see some wild news about this company, we wouldn’t be surprised. See what Reddit’s talking about on the AltIndex App:

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🎙 What Do You Think?

Is the market really in a state of Greed or Fear?

Login or Subscribe to participate

🎤What you said last time

🎪 Crowdfunding Showcase

Azure Printed Homes 3D prints modular homes from recycled plastic, turning discarded material into structures printed in 24 hours and move-in ready within 20 days. The company reported $5 million+ revenue in 2024 and has $35 million in prepaid orders lined up.

With three printers running daily in Los Angeles, Azure is raising on Wefunder to open a second facility in Denver and double capacity. Studio units list at roughly $40,000, and the campaign claims that builds are 70% faster and 30% cheaper than traditional construction. See the campaign before it closes Oct 27 →

🧠 The Missing (Market) Links

  • Smucker is suing Trader Joe's over its new frozen PB&J sandwiches, claiming they're too similar to Uncrustables.

  • Fresh off of brokering the Israel-Hamas peace deal, Trump is set to meet with Putin in order to discuss how Russo-Ukrainian War can be ended.

  • Living comfortably in America's priciest cities now requires $200K+; San Jose topped the list at $265K needed income

  • Casio's new $429 AI companion pet targeted Gen Z loneliness, though psychologists warned it might worsen social skills

📜 Quote of the Day

Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”

📢 We want to hear from you.

We love hearing from you, and we deeply appreciate your feedback.

That’s all for today. Did we miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know.

Cheers,
Brandon & Blake of Invested Inc

The information provided in Stocks & Income is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Stocks & Income is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or licensed financial planner. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We may hold positions in or receive compensation from the companies or products mentioned. Disclosures will be made where applicable.

Stocks & Income, AltIndex, Finance Wrapped, The Chain, and Future Funders are all owned by Invested, Inc.

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