No one knows the future, obviously. If they did, we wouldn’t be writing this newsletter. But you can use the information at hand to make educated guesses about where things are headed. And the US government dropped some serious hints this weekend about how it plans to steer the country through its $38 trillion debt crisis. The plan? Force the economy to grow (read: inflate) itself out of debt through an AI and robotics bull market that the government won’t allow to end.

And today, we’re covering how that plan will affect your portfolio, including:

Let’s begin.

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It appears that government officials are going forward with plans to force the economy to outgrow debt. Whether you agree with the government’s approach or not, that does seem to be the plan, and the question becomes: “How do we position ourselves to benefit from that plan if it’s happening?

We are not financial advisors, but the way that we see it, stocks in general (and especially AI + robotics) will continue to perform insanely well. It’s not a complicated prediction, it just feels like an obvious one. 

Don’t agree with us? That’s ok, but look at the past week. Markets FINALLY had a small correction (S&P 500 down 1.8%, NVDA down 8.7%, the Nasdaq down 3.5%), and everyone started to panic, almost as if markets are hypersensitive to any negative news right now. And what was the US government’s response to a normal, small, probably healthy correction?

Announcing $2,000 tariff dividend checks. Instead of allowing markets to correct themselves a bit, the White House seems determined to keep propping the AI-driven bull market with catalyst after catalyst (read below for more). 

So, the question remains of how to position yourself.

Our thought? Risk-on is the way to go. Any bet on the AI/robotics/picks-and-shovels market is a bet on this bull market continuing, whether that’s the S&P 500 or a small-cap robotics stock like Serve Robotics (SERV).

Here’s our idea of how people can invest in “The Endless Bull Run” we find ourselves in:

This is not financial advice, and you should always do your own research.

President Trump announced $2,000 “tariff dividends” to be paid out to Americans, and crypto surged immediately. People are already pricing this news in; it seems traders are predicting the $2,000 “dividends” to have the same effect on the crypto and stock markets as stimulus checks did in 2020 and 2021, driving up the prices of equity assets as people load the extra cash into equities. Ethereum rose over 3% and Bitcoin was up 1% on the news Sunday. 

The senate has also apparently just passed a deal to reopen the government, which is yet another bullish catalyst for markets. The shutdown is now on day 40, and prediction market odds have it lasting a total of 44 days. However, on the other hand, Trump has also stated that GDP could be negative in Q4 2025, and prediction markets have the odds of a recession by 2026 at a 33% chance.

50 year mortgages were also announced by Trump, which very well might have the effect of keeping housing prices high, if not increasing them. This new house loan product will provide consumers with a lower-interest, lower-payment option for buying homes, but as you well know, the longer the time frame of your mortgage, the higher the amount of interest you’ll end up paying. The difference in total cost between a 30 year mortgage and a 50 year mortgage could be in the hundreds of thousands or more.

Gold is doing well after seeing the potential light at the end of the government shutdown tunnel, jumping 2.1% to trade near $4,080 an ounce. If the government shutdown ends, key labor data will begin printing again, which will clear the fog that the Fed is trying to make rate decisions in right now (they’ve been data-starved and might not make a rate decision in December if they don’t have the labor data), according to Bloomberg.

NVIDIA: Analysts at Barchart said the chipmaker looked 22% undervalued based on projected free cash flow margins. They set a fair value near $230 per share, up from Friday’s $188 close, citing a 39% FCF margin and $112 billion in expected free cash flow over the next year.

“I swing trade on fad stocks for quick gains, but most of my positions are two years old or older.”

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That’s all for today. Did we miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know.

Cheers,
Brandon & Blake of Invested Inc