Hope you enjoyed your day off if you’re in the US, had fun voting if you’re in the UK, or found a way to make yesterday memorable if you’re elsewhere.

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📰 Market Headlines

  • Wall Street's 'bad news is good news' mantra was in full swing as markets embraced signs of a cooling economy.

    • The S&P 500 gained 0.51% while the Nasdaq rose 0.88% to fresh record highs, while the Dow slipped 0.06%.

    • Weak ISM Services PMI and cooling labor market data increased bets for a September rate cut to nearly 70%.

  • The EU slapped duties of up to 37.6% on China-built EVs in its biggest trade case yet.

  • Tesla short sellers lost a staggering $3.5 billion in just two days after the company reported better-than-expected Q2 deliveries.

🕶️ Market Vibes

🎰 Market Forecasts and Futures

Forecasts via Kalshi, the prediction market.

😱 Fear and Greed Index

🎤 What you said last time

Yeah, it’s Cleveland. Mexico City has the lowest homicide rate of the four options below.

📈 Trends you need to know

The economy is coming for your swimming pool installation business.

🧠 What do you think?

📊 Stocks

Get $20 free shares at public.com using code ALTSCO.

Winners and losers

Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions

  • LiveOne reported FY 2024 revenue up 19% YoY, but missed EPS estimates by 30%; shares slid 2%.

Market movers

  • Tesla's Model Y was included for the first time on a list of EVs approved for purchase by a Chinese provincial government.

  • Delta went pasta-only for thousands of international travelers after 'spoiled' food forced a flight to divert.

  • The FTC revamped its 'Made in USA' guidance with new corporate warnings due to a heightened enforcement push.

  • Microsoft carried out another round of layoffs across teams and geographies, its third this year so far.

  • OpenText announced plans to lay off nearly 1,200 employees, around 1.7% of its workforce.

Ideas, trends, and analysis

  • The pool construction boom has dried up, with just 60,000 in-ground residential pools expected to be built in 2024, down 50% from 2021.

  • Mortgage rates ticked up to 6.95% this week, the first increase since late May.

  • Meta's Threads app hit 175 million monthly users on its one-year anniversary.

  • Volvo Cars' June sales climbed 8% year-over-year to 71,514 vehicles, bolstered by a 41% surge in electric and plug-in hybrid models.

Recommended Newsletter

🌍 Global Perspectives

  • 🇯🇲 🇰🇾 🇲🇽 Hurricane Beryl tore through the Caribbean as a Category 3 storm, killing at least 8 people.

  • 🇬🇧 The UK’s Labour Party cruised to a historic victory, unseating the Conservatives.

  • 🇵🇭 🇨🇳 Philippine President Marcos Jr ordered his military to defuse tensions in the South China Sea after a flare-up with China.

  • 🇺🇦 🇷🇺 Ukraine's military intelligence and a pro-Kyiv Russian group claimed responsibility for an April arson attack on a Russian warship in the Baltic Sea.

  • 🇮🇳 121 people, mostly women and children, died in a stampede at a Hindu religious event in India's Uttar Pradesh state.

  • 🇿🇦 South Africa's new coalition government cabinet is set to be sworn in on Wednesday.

  • 🇯🇵 Japan declared victory in its effort to end government use of floppy disks.

📊 Crypto

🧠 Errata

📺 What to Watch Today

And I thought my sparklers were cool.

That’s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know.

Cheers,

Wyatt

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